2026 NCAA Tournament Projections: Purdue and Michigan Lead

Published
December 02, 2025
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Sports
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Early projections for the 2026 NCAA Tournament have placed Purdue and Michigan firmly on the radar as potential number one seeds. According to FOX Sports bracket forecaster Mike DeCourcy, after a series of impressive performances this season, Purdue, Michigan, Duke, and Arizona are currently leading the pack as undefeated teams with multiple signature victories.

DeCourcy's first bracket highlights these teams as the top contenders heading into the season, with Michigan and Purdue standing out due to their strong resumes. The Wolverines earned their top seed status particularly following a dominant performance during Feast Week at the Players Era Festival, showcasing their capability against top competition, as noted by On3.

Purdue has also made a significant impression, maintaining a strong position in the polls and keeping pace with other elite teams based on their early results. Both teams are contributing to the Big Ten's representation in the tournament, where the conference leads with ten teams in DeCourcy's projections, highlighting the heightened competition within the league.

Other teams making headlines include Michigan State, Iowa State, and Louisville, which are positioned just behind the top seeds at the two-line. In terms of potential bubble teams, DeCourcy identified Dayton, Santa Clara, Butler, and Cal as the last four teams in, while Seton Hall, UCF, Georgia, and St.

Bonaventure are on the outside looking in. As the season progresses, these initial projections are expected to evolve, but for now, Purdue and Michigan have established themselves as serious contenders for high seeds in the upcoming NCAA Tournament.

The landscape of college basketball is dynamic, and with months until Selection Sunday, fans and analysts alike will be closely monitoring team performances to see how these projections shift in the coming weeks.

The early NET Rankings further validate these projections, placing teams like Michigan and Purdue in favorable positions based on their performance metrics, indicating their strength in both wins and quality of opponents faced.

The analysis of these early-season results offers a glimpse into what could be an exciting March Madness, where both teams could potentially vie for top honors in the tournament as they continue to build their resumes throughout the season.

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